Free tool · GLP-1 progress
What is the average GLP-1 weight loss?
This tool shows what the average weight-loss percentages reported in clinical trials for Wegovy, Zepbound, and Saxenda would mean at your starting weight. Enter your starting weight to see the corresponding numbers. These are trial averages, not a prediction of your individual results.
Your numbers
What do you want to see?
By dose in SURMOUNT-1
This is education, not medical advice
Nothing here is a recommendation to start, stop, switch or change the dose of any medication. These are published group averages, and the right target for you depends on your health history, your other conditions and what your prescriber finds. Bring the numbers to that conversation rather than acting on them alone.
Body weight lost so far
28 lb down from 240 lb
Trial average for Zepbound was 20.9% over 72 weeks
You are at 56% of the SURMOUNT-1 average
You have lost 28 lb, which is 11.7% of the weight you started at. The average in the SURMOUNT-1 trial was 20.9% over 72 weeks.
About the Zepbound number
The dose matters a great deal here. The 5 mg result and the 15 mg result are nearly six percentage points apart, and 57% of the 15 mg group lost at least 20% of their body weight.
Every figure here is a mean from a controlled trial, and results varied widely around it. The trials also differ from each other in length, in dose, and in how much diet and exercise support everyone received, so treat a comparison across two of them as a rough one. A full rundown of each GLP-1 is in the GLP-1 comparison tool.
Milestones from your starting weight
Loss at this level has been associated with improvements in blood sugar, triglycerides and systolic blood pressure, and with less liver fat, knee pain and impact on quality of life.
Associated with improvements in obstructive sleep apnea, liver inflammation in fatty liver disease, HDL cholesterol and diastolic blood pressure.
Loss at this level has been described as having a disease-modifying effect in type 2 diabetes.
Reached by 57% of participants on the 15 mg tirzepatide dose in SURMOUNT-1, against 3% on placebo.
How the number is built
Percent lost is your weight lost divided by your starting weight. It is the measure the trials report, which is what makes a comparison across two different bodies possible at all.
How to read your comparison.
The number this tool shows you is a mean from a published trial, applied to the weight you entered. A mean is not a goal, a target, or an expected endpoint. It is the average of a group of people who were not you, in a study with its own dose, duration and support.
Results varied widely around every average
In STEP 1, 50% of participants lost 15% or more of their body weight while about one in seven did not reach 5%, all on the same dose and protocol. A single average hides that spread in both directions.
Being below an average is not a verdict
If your percentage is under the figure for your medication, that is information worth bringing to an appointment rather than a measure of how hard you have tried.
Trials are not directly comparable to each other
These trials differ in length, dose, who was enrolled and how much diet and exercise support everyone received. Comparing one trial’s number with another’s is rough, and comparing either with your own result is rougher still.
Start here
Why weight loss may slow.
When you lose weight, your body adapts. It may burn fewer calories, increase hunger signals, and make further weight loss harder. Rosenbaum and Leibel found these responses in both lean people and people with obesity, which tells us this is normal human physiology, not a lack of effort.
Obesity can still require ongoing treatment. In the STEP 1 extension, participants regained about two-thirds of the weight they had lost within a year of stopping semaglutide and the lifestyle support. The treatment had stopped, but the condition it was treating had not disappeared.
What is happening in the body.
Your body burns less energy at a lower weight
A smaller body naturally needs fewer calories. Weight loss can also cause your body to conserve energy and increase hunger. This means the same food and activity habits that helped you lose weight earlier may eventually maintain your weight instead, causing weight loss to slow or stop.
A plateau does not always mean the medication has stopped working
A plateau can happen even while a GLP-1 medication is still having an effect. As weight decreases, the body generally needs less energy, and changes in appetite, activity, and energy use can slow further weight loss. Individual responses vary, though, and a prescriber can help determine whether the medication is still providing benefit.
Appetite signals can stay changed for at least a year
Sumithran and colleagues followed people for one year after diet-induced weight loss and found ghrelin still elevated and leptin still suppressed at that point. That study did not involve GLP-1 treatment, and it did not follow people beyond a year, so it describes what happens after weight loss rather than what a medication does to those signals.
Trial participants plateaued too, and earlier than you might expect
A post-hoc analysis of SURMOUNT-1 and SURMOUNT-4 measured when tirzepatide participants stopped losing. Median time to plateau ran from about 24 weeks in the overweight group to about 36 weeks in the highest BMI groups, and by week 72 roughly 88 to 90% had reached one. Higher doses, younger age and female sex were associated with plateauing later, and timing varied between individuals.
What has not been tested.
If your result has slowed, the usual next moves are raising the dose, switching medication, or adding a second one. All three are plausible, and prescribers do all three. None of them has been tested in people who have already stopped losing. There is no published research yet on how to break a plateau on a GLP-1. This page will be updated as soon as there is.
Raising the dose
In SURMOUNT-1, groups assigned higher doses of tirzepatide lost more on average, 15.0% at 5 mg against 20.9% at 15 mg. Those people were put on their dose at the start. No trial has taken people who stopped losing and raised it to see what happens.
The closest finding is that higher doses were associated with reaching a plateau later, which is an observation from inside the trials rather than a test of escalating.
Switching medication
SURMOUNT-5 compared tirzepatide with semaglutide directly and found 20.2% against 13.7% at 72 weeks. Everyone in it started fresh on one or the other. It shows the two differ on average. It does not show that moving from one to the other restarts a stalled result.
Adding a second medication
The only randomized attempt gave phentermine on top of liraglutide to 45 people for 12 weeks, after a year of treatment. The added-medication group lost 1.6% against 0.1% on placebo, which did not reach statistical significance. The rest of the published work on combining is animal studies, trials about maintaining a loss, or expert opinion.
None of this means these are bad ideas, or that they will not work for you. It means nobody has run the study yet, so a prescriber making one of these calls is using judgement and your history rather than following evidence.
Sources
11 references
- Wilding JPH, Batterham RL, Calanna S, et al. Once-weekly semaglutide in adults with overweight or obesity (STEP 1). New England Journal of Medicine. 2021;384(11):989–1002. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2032183. Source of the 14.9% Wegovy average, the 2.4% placebo figure, and the 86%, 69% and 50% shares reaching 5%, 10% and 15% loss.
- Wilding JPH, Batterham RL, Davies M, et al. Weight regain and cardiometabolic effects after withdrawal of semaglutide: the STEP 1 trial extension. Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism. 2022;24(8):1553–1564. doi:10.1111/dom.14725. Source of the regain figure after the medication stopped.
- Jastreboff AM, Aronne LJ, Ahmad NN, et al. Tirzepatide once weekly for the treatment of obesity (SURMOUNT-1). New England Journal of Medicine. 2022;387(3):205–216. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2206038. Source of the 15.0%, 19.5% and 20.9% dose averages for Zepbound, the 3.1% placebo figure, and the 57% of the 15 mg group reaching 20% loss.
- Pi-Sunyer X, Astrup A, Fujioka K, et al. A randomized, controlled trial of 3.0 mg of liraglutide in weight management (SCALE). New England Journal of Medicine. 2015;373(1):11–22. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1411892. Source of the 8.0% Saxenda average.
- Rosenbaum M, Leibel RL. Adaptive thermogenesis in humans. International Journal of Obesity. 2010;34(Suppl 1):S47–S55. doi:10.1038/ijo.2010.184. Source for the finding that these responses occur in both lean people and people with obesity.
- Sumithran P, Prendergast LA, Delbridge E, et al. Long-term persistence of hormonal adaptations to weight loss. New England Journal of Medicine. 2011;365(17):1597–1604. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1105816. Source for ghrelin and leptin still altered a year after weight loss.
- Ryan DH, Yockey SR. Weight loss and improvement in comorbidity: differences at 5%, 10%, 15%, and over. Current Obesity Reports. 2017;6(2):187–194. doi:10.1007/s13679-017-0262-y. Source of the 5% and 10% milestone descriptions.
- Lingvay I, Sumithran P, Cohen RV, le Roux CW. Obesity management as a primary treatment goal for type 2 diabetes: time to reframe the conversation. The Lancet. 2022;399(10322):394–405. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01919-X. Source for a 15% loss having a disease-modifying effect in type 2 diabetes.
- Horn DB, Kahan S, Batterham RL, et al. Time to weight plateau with tirzepatide treatment in the SURMOUNT-1 and SURMOUNT-4 clinical trials. Clinical Obesity. 2025;15(3):e12734. doi:10.1111/cob.12734. Post-hoc analysis. Source of the 24 to 36 week median times to plateau by BMI category, the 88 to 90% who had plateaued by week 72, and the dose, age and sex associations.
- Aronne LJ, Horn DB, le Roux CW, et al. Tirzepatide as compared with semaglutide for the treatment of obesity (SURMOUNT-5). New England Journal of Medicine. 2025;393(1):26–36. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2416394. The head-to-head trial, 20.2% against 13.7% at 72 weeks, in people starting treatment rather than switching after a stall.
- Tronieri JS, Wadden TA, Walsh OA, et al. Effects of liraglutide plus phentermine in adults with obesity following 1 year of treatment by liraglutide alone: a randomized placebo-controlled pilot trial. Metabolism. 2019;96:83–91. doi:10.1016/j.metabol.2019.03.005. The only randomized test of adding a second medication after a year of treatment: 45 people, 12 weeks, 1.6% against 0.1%, not statistically significant.
Coaching
Stuck at a number and not sure why?
A calculator can tell you where you are against a trial average. Coaching helps you work out which of the reasons above is actually yours, and what to ask your prescriber at the next appointment.
Work with me →